Home » How Forensic Economists Evaluate Railroad Worker Injuries & Damages

How Forensic Economists Evaluate Railroad Worker Injuries & Damages

Published June 24, 2025

Railroad work is a dangerous occupation that exposes workers to sudden railroad accidents and long-term toxic hazards. When serious injuries or illnesses occur, the financial consequences can be complex and difficult to quantify without specialized expertise. Understanding the economic impact of these events is critical for achieving fair outcomes in litigation or settlement discussions.

Forensic economists serve as neutral evaluators, focusing strictly on quantifying measurable financial losses, including accident claims and toxic tort claims, to recover damages using established methodologies and reliable data sources.

At The Knowles Group, we specialize in providing objective, data-driven economic damage evaluations in railroad personal injury claims and toxic exposure cases. Whether retained by plaintiff or defense legal counsel, our role remains the same: to deliver independent, credible assessments that withstand scrutiny in negotiations, depositions, and trial proceedings.

Types of Railroad Worker Injuries and Illnesses 

Railroad workers face various occupational hazards that can lead to immediate, acute injuries or long-term illnesses from toxic exposures. Forensic economists must account for the nature of the harm when evaluating economic damages, as the type of injury or illness often dictates the case’s duration, progression, and overall financial impact.

Accident-Related Injuries

Accidents on railroads frequently lead to severe physical trauma. Common acute injuries include:

  • Traumatic brain and other head injuries
  • Spinal cord damage
  • Fractures
  • Amputations
  • Repetitive stress injuries
  • Internal organ injuries
  • Other traumatic injuries

These incidents often result from train derailments, collisions, falls, equipment failures, or other high-risk and unsafe working conditions. Statistically, the railroad industry has historically been far more hazardous than the private sector, with a fatality rate twice the all-industry average. Despite safety improvements over time, railroad occupations such as brake, signal, and switch operators continue to face a particularly high fatality risk, with fatality rates reaching 56 deaths per 100,000 workers during the study period.

Toxic Exposure Injuries

Beyond physical accidents, railroad workers are often exposed to hazardous substances over extended periods. Long-term exposure to materials such as asbestos, diesel exhaust, solvents, and industrial chemicals can result in serious diseases, including mesothelioma, lung cancer, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), and blood disorders like leukemia.

These illnesses often have delayed onset, making them more complex to link to workplace exposures. As a result, toxic tort claims involving railroad workers may surface years or even decades after initial exposure, requiring forensic economists to work closely with medical experts to model the future progression of the disease and associated costs. From an economic standpoint, toxic exposure cases typically involve progressive medical needs, declining work capacity over time, and life-care planning considerations that extend far into the future.

Common Economic Damages: Applied to Both Injury and Exposure Claims

Railroad worker injuries often result in significant economic losses. Forensic economists analyze these damages systematically, identifying measurable financial impacts based on the specific nature and severity of the harm. While the categories of damages are consistent across injury types, how these damages unfold over time can differ considerably between acute and chronic cases.

Damage

Accident

Toxic Exposure

Medical Expenses Sudden injuries typically involve immediate medical interventions such as surgeries, hospitalizations, rehabilitation programs, and follow-up treatments. Chronic illnesses often require long-term disease management, including ongoing treatments, specialty care, and future life-care planning that can extend for decades.
Lost Earnings Workers may experience temporary or permanent inability to work immediately after the injury, resulting in clearly defined periods of lost wages. Loss of earnings often develops gradually as the illness progresses, causing a declining ability to maintain prior work hours, productivity levels, or job duties.
Diminished Earning Capacity A permanent disability may prevent workers from returning to their previous occupation or reduce their ability to earn at the same level. Progressive illnesses can erode earning capacity over time, often necessitating phased work reductions or early retirement.
Future Home and Vehicle Modifications Often necessary after catastrophic injuries like paralysis or amputation. Less common unless toxic exposure results in catastrophic disability.
Vocational Rehabilitation and Retraining Costs Both accident and toxic exposure cases may require vocational rehabilitation or retraining programs if workers cannot return to their former roles.
Loss of Household Services When injuries or illnesses impair a worker’s ability to perform essential household tasks, such as home maintenance, childcare, or caregiving, these losses can be quantified economically as the cost to replace those household services.
Loss of Retirement and Pension Benefits Railroad workers often participate in structured retirement systems, such as those administered through the Railroad Retirement Board. Severe injuries or occupational diseases that shorten career length can significantly reduce retirement accruals and pension payouts.
Loss of Health Insurance Benefits In some cases, injury or illness results in the loss of employer-sponsored health insurance coverage and other fringe benefits, creating additional financial burdens for workers who must obtain private insurance or incur higher out-of-pocket costs.

How Forensic Economists Calculate Economic Damages

Accurately calculating economic damages in railroad worker injury and toxic exposure cases requires a structured, data-driven approach. Forensic economists apply consistent methodologies while adjusting for the facts of each case. Each damage category is modeled using reliable data sources, including employment records, medical reports, union agreements, industry wage growth trends, and standardized life and work expectancy tables.

Future losses are discounted to present value using appropriate interest rates to reflect the time value of money, ensuring that the total damage estimates are economically sound and legally defensible. Calculations must account for immediate losses and anticipate the long-term financial consequences of injury or disease progression.

Damage

Accident Explanation

Toxic Exposure Explanation

Medical Expenses Medical expenses are calculated using past medical bills and records, such as emergency care, surgeries, rehabilitation plans, physical therapy, and anticipated follow-up care based on the recommendations of medical professionals. Medical expenses for long-term disease management are projected for specialist visits, ongoing treatments, and future life-care needs through collaboration with medical experts.
Lost Earnings Using historical earnings and union wage data, lost earnings are based on immediate wage loss during recovery and any permanent restrictions on returning to previous employment. Lost earnings are modeled progressively, reflecting the gradual decline in work ability as the disease worsens, using historical earnings and future employment projections.
Diminished Earning Capacity Economists assess the permanent impact on earning ability due to physical impairment, comparing pre-injury career trajectories to post-injury limitations. Economists assess gradual loss in earning capacity over time due to deteriorating health, adjusting work-life expectancy and productivity assumptions based on disease progression.
Vocational Rehabilitation and Retraining Costs Retraining needs are estimated when physical injuries prevent a worker from returning to their original occupation, factoring in retraining program costs and post-retraining earning projections. Retraining costs are evaluated if toxic illness forces the worker to shift to lower-demand or less physically intensive employment, factoring in retraining costs and adjusted future earning capacity.
Loss of Household Services Economists use local wage rates for domestic work to calculate the replacement value of lost household services that the worker can no longer perform due to physical injury. Economists calculate the loss of household services progressively as the worker’s health deteriorates and their ability to perform tasks diminishes over time.
Loss of Retirement and Pension Benefits Injury-related career shortening impacts pension accruals; economists project lost pension value using career projections and early retirement reductions based on railroad-specific retirement plans. Long-term illnesses can force early retirement; economists estimate pension losses considering disease onset, shortened work-life expectancy, and applicable retirement benefit formulas.
Loss of Health Insurance Benefits Loss of employer-provided health insurance due to inability to work is modeled by projecting the costs of private insurance coverage or anticipated uninsured medical expenses. Loss of health insurance is modeled based on the timing of work cessation due to illness and the cost of obtaining private coverage or covering uninsured expenses over an extended period.
Future Home and Vehicle Modifications Economists calculate the present and future costs of necessary home and vehicle modifications resulting from catastrophic injuries like paralysis or amputation. In cases where toxic illness results in catastrophic disability, economists assess necessary home and vehicle modifications similar to those for acute injuries, although this is less common.

Hypothetical Railroad Accident Case Examples

The following examples demonstrate how forensic economists use each methodology to assess economic damages in railroad injury and toxic exposure cases. Each example includes a realistic breakdown of damages based on typical industry figures and assumptions.

Personal Injury Scenario: Traumatic Brain Injury From a Train Accident

A 43-year-old railroad switch operator suffered a severe traumatic brain injury (TBI) after being struck by unsecured rail equipment while working in the yard. Following the incident, he could not return to any form of employment and is seeking financial support. Both plaintiff and defense counsel retained forensic economists:

  • Plaintiff forensic economist: focused on the long-term financial implications of permanent disability, projecting substantial future medical needs, complete wage loss, loss of retirement benefits, and the full replacement value of household services.
  • Defense forensic economist: critically evaluated these assumptions, challenging specific projections regarding life-care needs, pre-incident earnings capacity, wage growth assumptions, and discount rates applied to future losses.

Both experts applied credible methodologies but produced notably different economic damage estimates. After mediation and multiple expert report exchanges, the parties reached a final settlement of $2,750,000. The settlement reflected a negotiated resolution that accounted for the undisputed severity of the injury while incorporating adjustments based on contested projections of future medical needs, wage losses, and retirement benefits.

Damage Category

Plaintiff Calculation

Defense Calculation

Basis of Calculation

Past Medical Expenses

$325,000

$325,000

Agreed upon based on actual incurred costs for emergency care, surgeries, inpatient rehabilitation, and outpatient therapy.
Future Medical Expenses

$1,200,000

$800,000

Plaintiff assumed full lifetime care over 30 years; the railroad company reduced projections based on lower anticipated life-care utilization rates and normal life expectancy adjustments.
Past Lost Earnings

$140,000

$140,000

Based on two years of full wage loss at $70,000/year, both experts agreed.
Future Lost Earnings

$1,050,000

$800,000

Plaintiff projected 15 years of wage loss with full wage growth; defense adjusted for earlier-than-typical retirement age and discounted future earnings at a higher rate.
Loss of Household Services

$150,000

$90,000

Plaintiff assumed full replacement of all home services for life expectancy; defense assumed reduced need based on external support and aging.
Loss of Retirement Benefits

$280,000

$150,000

Plaintiff projected full railroad retirement accrual loss; defense adjusted for early retirement patterns in the industry.
Loss of Health Insurance Benefits

$185,000

$100,000

Plaintiff assumed private insurance costs until Medicare eligibility; defense projected earlier qualification for government assistance and lower private insurance reliance.
Future Home Modifications

$75,000

$50,000

Plaintiff included extensive home and vehicle modifications; defense assumed more limited modifications sufficient for basic mobility access.
Total Economic Damages

$3,405,000

$2,455,000

Toxic Exposure Scenario: Mesothelioma Diagnosed After Asbestos Exposure

A 58-year-old retired railroad mechanic is diagnosed with mesothelioma, which he alleges resulted from long-term asbestos exposure during his 30-year railroad career. At diagnosis, he had been retired from full-time work but was engaged in part-time consulting. Both plaintiff and defense counsel retained forensic economists to determine fair compensation:

  • Plaintiff forensic economist: prepared damage projections based on a full lifetime of anticipated medical care, potential part-time earnings, and loss of services.
  • Defense forensic economist: critically evaluated these projections, focusing on documented income history, conservative medical cost forecasts, and reduced household contribution levels.

Each side applied structured, credible methodologies but reached significantly different damage totals. After review of the competing expert reports and extensive pre-trial mediation, the parties settled for $600,000. The final agreement reflected a compromise between the plaintiff’s projected economic damages (not including non-economic damages (like emotional distress and pain and suffering) and the defense’s more conservative assessments. The settlement resolved the matter without trial, allowing both parties to avoid additional litigation risks and costs.

Damage Category

Plaintiff Calculation

Defense Calculation

Basis of Calculation

Future Medical Expenses

$450,000

$300,000

Plaintiff assumed extensive cancer treatments over 5 years; defense limited projections to standard mesothelioma care over reduced life expectancy.
Lost Earnings (Post-Retirement Part-Time Work)

$60,000

$30,000

Plaintiff projected $20,000/year of lost income for 3 years; defense projected $10,000/year based on actual historical consulting income.
Diminished Earning Capacity

$0

$0

No claim or defense adjustment; full-time career had already ended before diagnosis.
Loss of Household Services

$90,000

$50,000

Plaintiff assumed full replacement value; defense reduced valuation based on limited pre-diagnosis contribution and aging effects.
Loss of Retirement and Pension Benefits

$135,000

$75,000

Plaintiff based pension losses on full supplemental pension expectations; defense adjusted for shorter life expectancy and early retirement.
Loss of Health Insurance Benefits

$40,000

$25,000

Plaintiff projected ongoing out-of-pocket healthcare costs; defense calculated based on documented insurance gaps and Medicare eligibility timeline.
Total Economic Damages

$775,000

$480,000

The Federal Employers’ Liability Act (FELA) and Economic Damages

Among the legal avenues available to injured railroad workers, the Federal Employers’ Liability Act (FELA) is a United States federal law that governs injury and illness claims brought by railroad workers who were injured on the job against their employers. Unlike traditional workers’ compensation systems, FELA is a fault-based system: injured workers must prove their employer’s negligence on the part of the railroad that contributed to their harm. From a forensic economic standpoint, FELA claims present several critical considerations:

  • Full scope of economic losses:  FELA does not impose statutory caps on recoverable damages. Economists must fully quantify past losses and project future losses without reduction based on arbitrary ceilings.
  • Comparative negligence reductions: Awards under FELA are subject to comparative negligence. If a worker is found partially at fault, the total damages awarded are reduced proportionally to their responsibility. Forensic economists must present gross (pre-reduction) damages, allowing courts or juries to apply percentage adjustments after establishing negligence and liability determinations.
  • Jurisdictional and procedural nuances:  Because FELA railroad claims can be filed in state or federal court, economists must ensure damage calculations conform to the chosen forum’s evidentiary standards and admissibility requirements.

Accurate economic modeling under FELA requires a thorough understanding of the statute’s structure, the potential for comparative fault adjustments, and the importance of presenting damages as objective and data-driven.

Unique Industry Factors in Railroad Employment

Railroad industry employment structures introduce additional complexities for forensic economists evaluating injury and toxic exposure claims. Several factors distinguish railroad employment from typical industries:

  • Union-negotiated pay scales and seniority systems: Collective bargaining agreements typically govern wages, promotions, and benefits. Career advancement is often determined by strict seniority rules rather than merit-based promotion opportunities. Economic damage projections must reflect these realities rather than assume speculative wage increases or career mobility.
  • Railroad retirement benefits: Railroad workers participate in the Railroad Retirement Board (RRB) system, a unique federal pension program separate from Social Security. Calculating lost retirement benefits requires a nuanced actuarial analysis of RRB benefits, service years, tiered retirement formulas, and eligibility thresholds.
  • Career longevity and work patterns: Railroad employees often have different career arcs than those in the general labor market. Economists must adjust work-life expectancy assumptions, particularly in cases involving toxic exposures that may shorten active working years or accelerate retirement timelines.

Injury or illness-related career disruptions must be modeled consistently with the structured nature of railroad employment. This ensures that damage assessments are realistic, credible, and appropriately tied to the plaintiff’s or decedent’s employment trajectory.

Schedule a Complimentary Case Consultation for Your Railroad Injury Case Today

Economic damages in railroad injury settlement and toxic exposure cases require a detailed, structured approach that accounts for legal processes, frameworks, and industry-specific employment factors. Forensic economists must produce analyses that are clear, credible, and tailored to the realities of railroad work, whether assessing the financial impact of a traumatic rail yard accident or modeling future losses related to occupational illness.

The Knowles Group brings extensive experience in calculating economic damages across various personal injury and toxic tort matters. Our analyses help experienced FELA attorneys on both sides of the aisle develop clear, evidence-based damage models in complex railroad injury and exposure claims. If you need expert economic damage analysis for a railroad worker injury or toxic exposure case, contact The Knowles Group today to learn how we can assist you or your law firm build a transparent and defensible financial picture.

Eric Knowles, MBA

The Knowles Group has been providing professional economic services to the legal community since 1979. The firm has worked on behalf of thousands of attorneys in a dozen states and Canada. Testimony has been provided in both federal and state venues.